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1
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- Taking the pulse of the people
- Polls are a snapshot of opinion-a point in time
- Consensus
- Polarization
- Factors:
- Intensity-the fervor of people’s beliefs varies greatly
- Merely as a potential, may not have crystallized- yet important
- Concerns issues (drugs, crime, health care, education) change over time
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2
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- Family
- Schools
- Mass Media
- Religion
- Ethnic and racial attitudes
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3
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- Voting-most often engaged
- Registration-discourages voting-varies from state to state
- National Voter Registration Act of 1993
- (Motor Voter)
- 1. Allows people to register when applying for a renewal of driver’s
license
- 2. States can also use schools/libraries/city/county offices as
registration sites
- 3. States can permit mail registration
- 4. Most registered claim to be Independents—thus neither party helped
- 5. Does not appear to have increased turnout
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4
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- 1. Turnout is highest in presidential general elections
- 2. Turnout is higher in general elections than in primary elections and
higher in primary elections than in special elections
- 3. Turnout is higher in presidential general elections than in midterm
general elections and higher in presidential primary elections than in
midterm primary elections
- 4. Turnout is higher in elections
in which candidates for federal office are on the ballot than in state elections in years when
there are no federal contests
- 5. Local or municipal elections have lower turnout than state elections,
and municipal primaries have even lower rates of participation
- 6. In 1960, turnout peaked at
almost 65 percent of persons over 21 years of age, but it has since
declined to 36 percent in 1998 and 51 percent in 2000
- 7. 85 million Americans failed to
vote in recent presidential elections; (despite the electorate growing
wealthier and more educated)
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5
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- 1. Voter registration appears to be the major block to voting
- 2. Too young; election did not
seem important; disinterested in the candidates; inconvenient
- 3. American parties are too
weak—nonvoter had no contact with party or organization
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6
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- 1. Educational level
- a. As education increases,
so does voting
- 2. Race and ethnic background
- a. Blacks vote at lower
rates than whites
- b. Women voters exceed that
of men
- 3. Income and age
- a. Those with higher family
incomes are more likely to vote than those with lower incomes
- b. Those with higher-status
careers are more likely to vote than those with lower-status jobs
- c. Older people, unless
they are very old and perhaps infirm, are more likely to vote than
- younger people
- d. Persons 18 to 24 years
of age have a poor voting record; so do persons over 70
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7
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- 1. Some argue that nonvoting is not a critical problem; why make it easy
for apathetic, lazy people to vote?
- 2. Some argue that nonvoting is a critical problem and cite the
"class bias" of those who do vote
- 3. The poor do not use their electoral power
- 4. But nonvoters are not more egalitarian or more in favor of government
ownership
- 5. Lower voter turnout could be seen as a sign of approval
- 6. If large nonvoter population
decided to vote, political balance of power could shift
- 7. Need for electoral reform noted after 2000 election—machines,
ballots, standards for recounts, ensuring the voting process is open to
all citizens, concerns about the news
- 8.media projecting winners before the polls close
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